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Delphi Method

Apply collective expertise to solve problems 

The Delphi method (Dalkey 1969) is a technique used to collect the assessment of a group of experts without allowing them to influence each other.

Steps to perform a session

  • Select a group of experts in a topic, people with academic background and practical experience, a broader the spectrum of expertise usually lead to better results

  • isolate the experts and propose them a problem that you want to solve in a given amount of time that depends on the complexity of the issue

  • The first round of interaction with the experts is used to present some questions and ask them to write down their answers independently

  • Now collect these responses and compile them into a single document that will be offered back to the same experts in aggregate form, it is not possible to retrieve who said what

  • The experts are given another chance to assess their relative position so they can revise or confirm their early assessment

  • compile the answers to the second round and you have a list of estimates and answers from experts to serve as a base for your considerations

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